تسريب الرد الإسرائيلي

في 18 أكتوبر 2024، تسربت وثائق استخبارية أجنبية سرية من وكالة الأمن القومي والوكالة الوطنية للمخابرات الجغرافية المكانية الأمريكية ونُشرت على قنوات تليگرام. كانت الوثائق المسربة متعلقة بالخطط الإسرائيلية للرد على إيران بسبب ضرباتها على إسرائيل في أكتوبر 2024. وكشفت عن خطط مفصلة وثقتها الولايات المتحدة بشأن التدابير العسكرية الإسرائيلية بما في ذلك تدريبات القوات الجوية الإسرائيلية، وعمليات المسيرات العسكرية، ونقل الذخائر المتقدمة، بالإضافة إلى التصوير الساتلي الذي أجرته المخابرات الأمريكية على القوات الجوية الإسرائيلية. وأشارت إحدى الوثائق إلى شيء رفضت إسرائيل والولايات المتحدة دائماً تأكيده علناً: وهو امتلاك إسرائيل للأسلحة النووية. وكشفت التسريبات أيضاً عن المساهمة الكبيرة لتجسس الولايات المتحدة على إيران في توفير المعلومات الاستخباراتية للعمليات العسكرية الإسرائيلية المزمعة.

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 التسريب

On 18 October 2024, the classified documents were posted to a Telegram channel called "Middle East Spectator". The documents were dated to 15 and 16 October 2024. The user who posted the documents claimed that they were leaked by a member of the United States Intelligence Community, later claiming that they were a member of the United States Department of Defense. Three United States security officials reported the leak to The Associated Press, and a fourth official evaluated the documents as most likely being authentic.

 المحتوى

The two leaked confidential documents detailed measures taken by Israel to prepare for a retaliatory strike against Iran for its strikes on Israeli military bases in October 2024. Measures included the rearranging and relocation of advanced munitions and military assets needed to conduct the strikes, detailed plans for Israeli drone routes and strikes against Iranian targets, as well as a large exercise conducted by the Israeli Air Force potentially using fighter jets with intelligence planes, as well as air-to-surface missiles. One of the documents suggested the presence of nuclear weapons in Israel's arsenal. Both documents were labelled as "Top Secret" and "NOFORN" (not releasable to foreign nationals), although certain information within the documents was shared between security officials in the U.S., Canada, Great Britain, Australia, and New Zealand as part of the Five Eyes (FVEY) intelligence alliance.

One of the documents was an alleged Department of Defense National Geospatial-Intelligence Agency (NGA) Visual Intelligence report that had been distributed in the week prior to the leak consisting entirely of satellite image analysis. A leaked document was noted to be similar in style to other U.S. National Geospatial Intelligence Agency documents that had been leaked by Air National Guardsman Jack Teixeira regarding the Russo-Ukrainian war in March 2024.

According to the leak, the U.S.A noted that the Israeli Air Force was handling ALBMs including 16 Golden Horizons and at least 40 ROCKS located at the Hatzerim Airbase since October 8.

 تحليل

Axios reporter Barak Ravid stated that a possible motive for the leak was to disrupt or delay Israel's retaliation against Iran, and that the documents themselves indicated that United States intelligence was very closely involved with aiding Israel in its detailed preparations to attack Iran. The documents also indicated the use of United States satellites to spy on and gather information on Israeli Air Force operations, contributing to the seriousness of the security breach.

CNN reporters Natasha Bertrand and Alex Marquardt noted that the data breaches would likely bring anger from Israel against the United States at a period where mutual diplomatic relations have been complicated during the Israel-Hamas war and associated conflicts with Iranian proxies. Retired CIA officer and former Middle East security official Mick Mulroy stated that confirmation of the documents' authenticity could challenge future ties and cooperation between Israel and the United States due to a fundamental breach in trust.

 ردود الفعل

The Pentagon and the Office of the Director of National Intelligence both noted the leak of the classified documents, but did not elaborate further. The Federal Bureau of Investigation refused to comment on the leak. An anonymous United States official called the leak "deeply concerning".

The Israel Defense Forces did not comment on the leak of the classified documents. A senior Israel official reported that the Israel Defense Forces were aware of the leak, and that they were taking the breach "very seriously".

 التحقيق

United States security officials quickly began an investigation into the nature of the leak, including how the documents had been obtained and shared as well as the identity and background of the people involved with the leak. The investigation also worked to determine if the leaker was a part of the U.S. government, if the leak was obtained by a hack or data breach, and if any other confidential information had been obtained and placed at risk for being shared to public or hostile parties.

 انظر أيضاً

• German Taurus leak
• 2022–2023 Pentagon document leaks
• Afghanistan Papers
• Palestine Papers
• United States diplomatic cables leak