نظرية البحث (اقتصاد كلي)

في الاقتصاد الكلي, نظرية البحث, وتعرف أيضا بنظرية البحث والتوفيق, is a mathematical framework describing the formation of mutually beneficial relationships over time. It offers a way of modeling markets in which frictions prevent instantaneous adjustment of the level of economic activity. Among other applications, it has been used as a framework for studying frictional unemployment. The key element that distinguishes matching theory from other approaches to macroeconomic modeling is the presence of a matching function.

Matching theory has been especially influential in labor economics, where it has been used to describe the formation of new jobs, as well as to describe other human relationships like marriage. Matching theory is closely related to an earlier framework called search theory which is somewhat more commonly applied in microeconomics.

One of the founders of matching theory is Dale T. Mortensen of Northwestern University. A textbook treatment of the matching approach to labor markets is Christopher A. Pissarides' book Equilibrium Unemployment Theory.

. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . .

 The matching function

A matching function is a mathematical relationship that describes the formation of new relationships (also called 'matches') from unmatched agents of the appropriate types. For example, in the context of job formation, matching functions are sometimes assumed to have the following 'Cobb-Douglas' form:

$m_{t}\;=\;M(u_{t},v_{t})\;=\;\mu u_{t}^{a}v_{t}^{b}$

where $\,\mu \,$, $\,a\,$, and $\,b\,$ are positive constants. In this equation, $\,u_{t}\,$ represents the number of unemployed job seekers in the economy at a given time $\,t\,$, and $\,v_{t}\,$ is the number of vacant jobs firms are trying to fill. The number of new relationships (matches) created (per unit of time) is given by $\,m_{t}\,$.

A matching function is in general analogous to a production function. But whereas a production function usually represents the production of goods and services from inputs like labor and capital, a matching function represents the formation of new relationships from the pools of available unmatched individuals. Estimates of the labor market matching function suggest that it has constant returns to scale, that is, $a+b\approx 1$.

If the fraction of jobs that separate (due to firing, quits, and so forth) from one period to the next is $\,\delta \,$, then to calculate the change in employment from one period to the next we must add the formation of new matches and subtract off the separation of old matches. A period may be treated as a week, a month, a quarter, or some other convenient period of time, depending on the data under consideration. (For simplicity, we are ignoring the entry of new workers into the labor force, and death or retirement of old workers, but these issues can be accounted for as well.) Suppose we write the number of workers employed in period $\,t\,$ as $\,n_{t}=L_{t}-u_{t}\,$, where $\,L_{t}\,$ is the labor force in period $\,t\,$. Then given the matching function described above, the dynamics of employment over time would be given by

$n_{t+1}\;=\mu u_{t}^{a}v_{t}^{b}+(1-\delta )n_{t}$

For simplicity, many studies treat $\,\delta \,$ as a fixed constant. But the fraction of workers separating per period of time can be determined endogenously if we assume that the value of being matched varies over time for each worker-firm pair (due, for example, to changes in productivity).

 Applications

Matching theory has been applied in many economic contexts, including:

• Formation of jobs, from unemployed workers and vacancies opened by firms
• Formation of marriages, from unmatched individuals
• Allocation of loans from banks to entrepreneurs
• The role of money in facilitating sales when sellers and buyers meet

 نقد

Matching theory has been widely accepted as one of the best available descriptions of the frictions in the labor market, but some economists have recently questioned its quantitative accuracy. While unemployment exhibits large fluctuations over the business cycle, Robert Shimer has demonstrated that standard versions of matching models predict much smaller fluctuations in unemployment.

 انظر أيضا

• Beveridge curve
• اقتصاد العمل
• Monetary economics